AI SOURCE NETWORKINDEPENDENT AI BAROMETER

AI SOURCE NETWORK · INDEPENDENT AI BAROMETER

What changed in AI?
What can we prove?

Track verified changes in AI model and tool listings. See what bounded local studies measured, when evidence was checked, and what remains unknown.

Subscribe to verified changes · Atom ↗
INDEPENDENT SIGNAL · EVIDENCE BEFORE RANKING
LIVE MEASUREMENT STATUSChecking the latest evidence…Catalog discovery and measured capability are reported separately.Checking latest verified catalog activity…Inspect matched local studies · separate from production ↓
BACKGROUND VIEWVISUAL ONLY

Background view: Earth. Evidence stays unchanged.

INDEPENDENT AI BAROMETER

What the evidence supports

CHECKING LIVE STATUS

A listing confirms that a source reported a resource; it does not confirm live access or capability. Production comparisons require independently checked outcomes on matching tasks.

DISCOVERED · SOURCE LISTINGMEASURED · VERIFIED OUTCOMEFRESHNESS · GAPS · LIMITS

Checking public evidence feeds…

SUPPORTING RESEARCH

Observation history, evidence & next questions

Loading verified evidence and bounded measurement leads…

LOCAL MEASUREMENTS · SEPARATE FROM PRODUCTION

Small, independently checked studies with visible methods and limits. Three earlier, separate five-contract CUAD suites (observed 20 Oct 2026) show different apparent leaders and overlapping 95% intervals, so no overall winner is supported. The six-contract comparison below is a separate study. These local results remain outside production measurements.

LATEST LOCAL HOLDOUT · 28 OCT 2026

Llama matched 2/24; Qwen's matched baseline scored 10/24.

The approved 28 Oct Llama run returned 2 exact annotated spans in 24 attempts on the same six contracts: 0/12 canonical and 2/12 paraphrased. The matched Qwen receipt reports 10/24 on that suite. The models ran on separate dates, so this is not a simultaneous randomized trial. These six examples do not support a general model ranking or establish legal correctness.

A separate repeatability receipt covers three Llama runs completed by 27 Oct: all 24 output hashes matched pairwise and each run scored 2/24. That earlier receipt does not include the 28 Oct holdout. A different Llama-only rerun had five timeouts and remains unpooled. Repeats add no new contract coverage.

Read outcomes, intervals and protocol ↗ · Inspect the 28 Oct result receipt ↗ · Inspect the matched Qwen comparison receipt ↗ · Inspect the separate earlier repeatability receipt ↗ · Inspect the separate timed-out rerun ↗

LOCAL TOOL-CALL EXTENSION · EXPLORATORY · 24 OCT 2026

Nearly every tool was chosen; exact calls often failed.

Across 12 new BFCL V4 tasks, Qwen 2.5 1.5B selected the expected function in 11/12 calls and passed exact typed-argument checks in 8/12. Llama 3.2 3B selected the expected function in 12/12 and passed exact checks in 2/12. The wide, overlapping intervals and small public sample do not support a model ranking.

The tools were not run. These measurements cover function choice and argument construction, not downstream results or customer utility. Inference used local Ollama: zero provider calls and zero provider spend; local electricity was not measured.

Read the comparison, protocol, uncertainty and limitations ↗ · Inspect all task-level evidence ↗

HOW TO READ THE BAROMETER

01

Observe

Record the resource, source, time and task that were actually used.

02

Verify

Keep independently checked outcomes separate from model claims.

03

Compare

Show a score only when evidence is fresh and task conditions align.

04

Disclose

Keep sample size, uncertainty and missing data visible.

The live barometer separates source listings from independently checked outcomes. Supporting Research keeps local pilots separate and links their methods, limits and hash-checked receipts. Browse all studies and evidence ↗

EXTERNAL HUMAN AND AGENT SIGNALS

Human preferences and agent task outcomes

Open the source dataset ↗

These are reported by Arena from its public leaderboard data. They are separate from ASN measurements and cannot be compared across tracks.

External results load as this section comes into view…

Historical Arena movement · five models across three dated snapshots

Loading archived source snapshots…

External benchmark evidence can use different samples, tasks and scoring methods. ASN does not validate these results and does not include them in its own ranking.

THE OPEN FRONTIER

Not a leaderboard. A map of intelligence.

Capabilities change daily. The observatory tracks what changed, how confidently we know it, and which questions still need evidence.

See the method and limits →